Statistics Seminars: System Failure Quantification using Fault Tree Analysis
7 December 2001 14:00 in CM221
"Fault Tree Analysis was first conceived in the 1960's at Bell Telephone Labs, USA whilst undertaking a project on the Minuteman Missile. Its time dependent mathematical theory, known as Kinetic Tree Theory, was developed about 10 years later by the Nuclear Industry. Since then it has been used to predict the failure probability of safety systems in many industries and is used extensively in Risk Analyses and Safety Cases.
This talk will describe the basic elements of a fault tree and the traditional mathematical method used for its quantification. The talk will then go on to describe the latest developments in this field. They can be considered in two areas: developments which improve the accuracy and efficiency of the technique, and developments which broaden the scope for using the technique. Examples of advances in both of these area will be given.
"Department of Mathematical Sciences, Loughborough University"
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