Publication details for Professor Alexandra CristeaTsakalidis,Adam Papadopoulos, S. Cristea, A. I. & Kompatsiaris, Yiannis (2015). Predicting elections for multiple countries using Twitter and polls. IEEE Intelligent Systems 30(2): 10-17.
- Publication type: Journal Article
- ISSN/ISBN: 1541-1672
- DOI: 10.1109/MIS.2015.17
- Further publication details on publisher web site
- Durham Research Online (DRO) - may include full text
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Author(s) from Durham
The authors' work focuses on predicting the 2014 European Union elections in three different countries using Twitter and polls. Past works in this domain relying strictly on Twitter data have been proven ineffective. Others, using polls as their ground truth, have raised questions regarding the contribution of Twitter data for this task. Here, the authors treat this task as a multivariate time-series forecast, extracting Twitter- and poll-based features and training different predictive algorithms. They've achieved better results than several past works and the commercial baseline.