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Institute of Advanced Study

Climate Change: Ice and Oceans

Public Lecture Series

Climate change will affect us all; from the crops we can grow, common diseases we suffer from, our energy usage, weather patterns and so forth. The list is endless - ultimately the environment determines how we live. Hence it is vital that we have a robust model of the how our environment will respond to a changing climate and how our very existence is driving climate change. In this series of public lectures we will explore some of these issues by examining how we use models to understand the past and predict the future, also we will look at how we handle uncertainty and risk. The first lecture by Professor Donald MacKenzie from Edinburgh will look at how we can manage our influence on climate change through market forces and shows that the simple model of carbon trading is not so simple after all. The second lecture, Climate Change:  interplay of models, theory and observations by Professor Alan Thorpe (Chief Executive of the Natural Environment Research Council), will examine the complex area of how we constrain our models and theories of climate change by observations. A key aspect will show how by reducing our uncertainty in our measurements we can identify causes and make more reliable predictions about the future. Dr Glenn Milne (Durham University) will look at one specific model of climate-driven sea-level change. He will examine the interlocking cause and effect of temperature, ice melting and the Earth's response to mass redistribution and how these will effect sea-level around the globe.   The final lecture in this series, by Professor Sir David King, will take a global view on how climate models and their predictions have shaped his views and hence his advice to the Government in his role as its Chief Scientific Advisor.

22 October 2007
The Material Sociology of Carbon Markets
Professor Donald MacKenzie (Edinburgh University)
29 January 2008
Climate Change:  interplay of models, theory and observations.
Professor Alan Thorpe (Natural Environment Research Council)
7 February 2008
Modelling climate-driven sea-level change

Dr Glenn Milne (Durham University)

Professor Sir David King: Date and title to be announced