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Institute of Advanced Study

Past Events

Quantifying Output Uncertainty in Models used for Climatic Change Research Seminar - The Study of Uncertainty in Palaeoclimate Reconstruction

11th November 2011, 13:00 to 14:00, Seminar Room, Institute of Advanced Study, Cosin's Hall, Professor John Haslett (Trinity College Dublin)

This is the third seminar in the Quantifying Output Uncertainty in Models used for Climatic Change Research Seminar Series.

This non-technical presentation will consider recent and current developments in statistical methods and their implications for palaeoclimate reconstruction from proxies such as pollen. In particular it will discuss developments in Monte Carlo methods in Bayesian Approaches. An early vision of the task is the ‘proof-of-concept' paper, Haslet et al, (2006). We consider the current and future research agenda.


Haslett, J., Whiley, M., Bhattacharya, S., Salter-Townshend, M., Wilson, S. P., Allen, J. R. M., Huntley, B. and Mitchell, F. J. G. (2006), Bayesian palaeoclimate reconstruction. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 169: 395-438. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2006.00429.x

This seminar is part of the Quantifying Output Uncertainty in Models used for Climatic Change Research Seminars.

Contact enquiries.ias@durham.ac.uk for more information about this event.