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Durham University

Institute of Hazard, Risk and Resilience


IHRR Seminar Series: Risk and the machine learning society

25th January 2021, 12:00 to 13:00, Zoom, Louise Amoore

Risk and the machine learning society

It has become commonplace to account for a 21st century risk paradigm that has an anticipatory or pre-emptive orientation to uncertain futures. In such a paradigm, the emphasis is placed on the harnessing of uncertainty and the unknown in the governing of risks. However, in parallel with a novel paradigm of risk, contemporary advances in machine learning algorithms have reconfigured how society understands itself and its problems. What does it mean for society to frame risk problems - from pandemic to terrorism, from economic volatility to climate change - as problems of the design of an algorithmic model? How do the practices of testing and trialling machine learning models shape the political interventions that can take place in a society? In short, what happens when risk problems become algorithmic solutions? In this seminar we will explore algorithmic processes of clustering, segmenting, and attributing, and discuss whether such processes usher in new forms of governing inferred futures. 

Please register for this event here.

This event is free, everyone is welcome!

The Impact of Hazard, Risk and Disasters on Societies

To celebrate the 10 year anniversary of the Institute of Hazard, Risk & Resilience (IHRR) based at Durham University, the IHRR came together with the 11th Dealing with Disasters (DwD) Conference, Disaster and Development Network (DDN) based in Northumbria University, to organise an international conference. The aim was to bring together practitioners, researchers, humanitarian agencies and hazard managers to present and discuss the latest understanding and challenges around managing hazards and surviving disasters. For this event, broad interpretations of hazard, risk and resilience were considered in keeping with demands for new strategic developments in this field globally, regionally and more locally.

Keynote speakers included:

Margareta Whalström, UN Special Representative for Disaster Risk Reduction 2008-2015Dr. Ciro Ugarte, Director, Emergency Preparedness & Disaster Relief, Pan American Health Organization
Prof. Stuart Corbridge, Vice Chancellor Durham University
Prof. Eelco Dykstra, 11th Brunel International Lecturer 2016-2018, Institution of Civil Engineers
Amod Dixit, Executive Director, NSET


Natural hazards have significant impacts on human populations and societies. Impacts arise from complex interactions between natural environmental processes, combined with human social and cultural processes. Mitigating, managing and adapting to natural hazards relies on improving anticipation of disasters and their impacts to inform preparedness and response to such events, which is essential to support efforts to limit their impacts on mortality, human health, wellbeing and livelihoods. The Sendai Framework and Sustainable Development Goals were both adopted in 2015 with the aim to better support those living with hazard and risk. Achievement of these goals depends on effective communication amongst academic researchers, hazard managers, civil defence teams, governmental and humanitarian agencies, and at-risk communities.

Final programme can be found here.

Plenary Keynote Speakers

Date Speaker Presentation

Wednesday 20th September

9:00 - 10:00

Professor Andrew Collins

Northumbria University

Advancing the Disaster and Development Paradigm for Addressing Impacts of Hazards, Risks and Disasters on Society

Wednesday 20th September

14:00 - 14:30

Professor Stuart Corbridge

VC Durham University

Hazards, Risk and Resilience: Three Teachers

Wednesday 20th September

17:00 - 18:00

Ciro Ugarte

Director, Emergency Preparedness & Disaster Relief, Pan American Health Organization

Protecting the Public's Health from Emergencies and Disasters. Presentation not available.

Thursday 21stSeptember

09:00 - 09:30

Eelco Dykstra

11th Brunel International Lecturer 2016-2018, Institution of Civil Engineers

From Risk to Resilience: Creating Opportunities... - by Benchmarking Local Communities. Presentation not available.

Thursday 21st September

09:30 - 10:00

Dr Amod Dixit

Executive Director, National Society for Earthquake Technology, Nepal.

Reflecting on 30 years of earthquake risk reduction efforts in Nepal and looking to the future

Health Centred Disaster Risk Reduction

Chair: Andrew Collins

Wednesday 20th September
Rosemary Cramp Lecture theatre (204), Calman Learning Centre

Time Speaker Presentation
10:00 – 10:30 Virginia Murray Impacts of hazards and disaster - examples of health impacts
11:00 – 11:20 Ron Law Disaster risk reduction and management in the Philippines – the role for research and planning
11:20 – 11:40 Charlotte Hammer Re-Conceptualising vulnerability as a part of risk in global health emergency response
11:40 – 12:00 Sachiko Nakamura (given by Virginia Murray) Disaster risk reduction and management in Japan – a role for research and planning including the health sector. Presentation not available.
13:00 – 13:20 Charlotte Hammer Risk factors for communicable diseases in disasters and humanitarian emergencies
13:20 – 13:40 Cartwright, C., Hall, M and Lee, ACK. The Changing Health Priorities of Earthquake Response and Implications for Preparedness: A Scoping Review
13:40 - 14:00 Kylah Genade Transdisciplinary Health Promotion for Promoting Disaster Risk Reduction in targeting Neglected Tropical Diseases in Southern Africa. Presentation not available.
15:00 – 15:20 Nibedita S Ray-Bennett

Menstrual Regulation and Post Menstrual Regulation Care Challenges During Flood: An Insight from Belkuchi Sub-District of Bangladesh

15:20 – 15:40 Rosie Waller

Communicating health risks to children. Presentation not available.

Social Dimensions of Hazards and Risks

Chair: Lena Dominelli
Wednesday 20th September

Ken Wade Lecture theatre (203), Calman Learning Centre

Time Speaker Presentation
10:00 – 10:30 Lena Dominelli Welcome and Introduction to the The Social Dimensions of Disasters
11:00 – 12:00 Dr Ben Wisner The Next Paradigm Shift: From Disaster Risk Reduction to Reducing Disaster Risk Creation
13:00 – 14:00 Dr Julie Drolet The Health Effects of the Alberta Wildfire and Evacuation: Pediatric Resiliency. Presentation not available.
15:00 – 15:10 Nuwan Dias Climate Change Adaptation – Is It a Part of Disaster Risk Reduction or a Separate Discipline
15:10 – 15:20 A M Aslam Saja, S.M. Lafir Sahid and M. Sutharshanan Risk-Sensitive Development Planning to Build resilient Communities: A Case Study from Northern Sri Lanka. Presentation not available.
15:20 – 15:35 Lena Dominelli Closing Remarks

Using the concept of resilience, looking into the future

Chair: Hanna Ruszczyk and Emily Wilkinson
Wednesday 20th September

Kingsley Barrett Lecture Theatre (407), Calman Learning Centre

Time Speaker Presentation
13:00 - 13:10

Hanna Ruszczyk

Emily Wilkinson ODI

13:10 - 13:30 Erwin Nugraha Resilient city: resilience and liberal governance
13:30 – 13:50 John Forrester Bringing equity into resilience practice
15:00 - 15:20 Camilla Audia Consortium work for strengthening resilience: lessons learned from Building Resilience and Adaptation to Climate Extremes and Disasters (BRACED) projects.
15:20 – 15:40 Zahra Hussain Crafting resilience; weaving alternative futures. Presentation not available.
15:40 - 16:00 Emily Wilkinson
Terry Cannon

Health Interventions in Volcanic Eruptions

Chair: Claire Horwell
Wednesday 20th September

Geography W010

Time Speaker Presentation
15:10 – 15:40 Karen Galea Performance of respirators, masks and cloth used to protect against inhaling volcanic ash.
No other presentations available from this session.

Natural Hazards Partnership: working together to provide advice on natural hazards

Chair: Helen Balmforth, Helen Reeves
Wednesday 20th September

Geography W414

Time Speaker Presentation
15:00 – 15:20 Helen Balmforth or Helen Reeves, BGS Overview of the Natural Hazards Partnership (NHP)
15:20 – 15:40 Oliver Gunawan, HSL Hazard Impact Framework
15:40 – 16:00 Steve Cole, CEH Surface Water Flooding Hazard Impact Model
16:00 – 16:20 Hazel Napier, BGS EVER-EST project and the NHP
16:20 – 16:40 Brian Golding, Met Office The contribution of the HIWeather project to improving disaster early warnings


Chair: Marc Botha
Thursday 21st September and Friday 22nd September

Geography W010

Time Speaker Presentation
13:00 - 14:30 Networking Discussion “Vulnerabilities” and the “Risk Humanities” paradigms and future collaboration within and beyond the Matariki Network of Universities
No other presentations available from this session.

Progress and Prospect in Disaster Risk Reduction (in conjunction with UKADR)

Chairs: Andrew Collins and Mark Pelling
Thursday 21st September

Rosemary Cramp Lecture Theatre (room 204), Calman Learning Centre

Time Speaker Presentation
10:00 – 10:30 John Rees Progress and prospect in disaster risk reduction research investments. Presentation not available.
11:00 – 11:20 Xiujuan Zhao, Coates, G and Wei Xu Earthquake disaster shelter location and allocation. Presentation not available.
11:20 – 11:40 Yiwen Lin Community-led active learning and its role in sustainable disaster recovery: the case of Minami-Sanriku, Japan. Presentation not available.
11:40 – 12:00 Susanne Sargeant et al Promoting safer building and improving support to self-recovery: geohazards and the use of scientific knowledge
13:00 – 13:20 Andrew Lee Learning lessons from the 2015 Nepal earthquake disaster
13:20 – 13:40 Christine Hagar Strengthening Community Engagement and Resilience Efforts in Climate Change: Public Program Strategies
13:40 – 14:00 Emily Wilkinson Delivering DRR by 2030: Pathways to Progress
14:00 – 14:20 Federico M. Federici Crises in Multilingual Contexts, or the Translation Barrier. Presentation not available.
15:00 – 15:20 Eleanor Bainbridge Disaster Resilience in Nepal Post Gorkha Earthquake
15:20 – 15:40 Terry Cannon Disaster Risk Creation. Presentation not available.
15:40 – 16:00 Heidi Tuhkanen Understanding the trade-offs between development and disaster risk: a typology
16:00 – 16:20 Dr. Nahid Rezwana Gender-sensitive disaster management plan to reduce gendered health impacts of cyclones in the coastal region of Bangladesh
16:20 – 16:40 Lafir Mohamed

Community led approach to risk sensitive development – a case from Myanmar. Presentation not available.

Friday 22nd September

Rosemary Cramp Lecture Theatre (room 204), Calman Learning Centre

Time Speaker Presentation
09:00 – 09:20 Fachrul Rizki and Niswa Nabila Sister Village: Disaster Risk Reduction based on Local Indigenous in Magelang District
09:20 – 09:40 Coates G, Li C, Ahilan S, Wright N Exploring Small and Medium Enterprises behaviours to enhance resilience to flooding
09:40 – 10:00 Rev. Wimalajothi Thero Samadhigama Problem Prevention rather than Conflict Resolution. Presentation not available.
11:00 – 11:20 Anastasios G. Sextos Seismic Safety and Resilience of Schools in Nepal. Presentation not available.
11:20 – 11:40 Richard Kotter Advancing the fire safety of the most vulnerable tenants in multi-occupancy housing post-Grenfell – a breakthrough on the horizon for the deployment of domestic sprinklers? Presentation not available.
11:40 – 12:00 Richard Strachan Mapping the impact of disasters using chained crowd sourcing.

Water related hazard, risk and resilience

Chair: Louise Bracken
Thursday 21st September

Ken Wade Lecture theatre (203), Calman Learning Centre

Time Speaker Presentation
10:00 – 10:30 Safiah Yusoff Challenges for global water security. Presentation not available.
11:00 – 11:20 Kate Crinion The development of a theoretical framework to enhance transformational resilience within a post-flooding context in Northern Ireland. Presentation not available.
11:20 – 11:40 Ajaz Ahmed An Analysis of Flood Adaptations and Their Extent in District Nowshehra Pakistan
11:40 – 12:00 Tyagi P, Consuegra D & Pande RK Community Participation in the Management of Flash Flood Disaster in Kedarnath Valley of Garhwal Himalaya, Uttarakhand, India
13:00 – 13:20 de Almeida e Souza PC and Frederico Loureiro C Psychosocial impacts of floods/landslides on communities in Rio de Janeiro state, brazil
13:20 – 13:40 Euan Innes Social Vulnerability to Drought in Rural Malawi – Index study
13:40 – 14:00 Trogrlić RS, Wright G, Adeloye A, Duncan M, Mwale F Local knowledge in community-based flood risk management: perspectives from the Lower Shire Valley in Malawi
14:00 – 14:20 Schembri, JA Causon Deguara, J and Gauci R Marine water intrusion in coastal urban areas in Malta

The Youth Voice in Disaster Risk Reduction

Thursday 21st September

Geography W414

Time Speaker Presentation
11:00 – 11:20 Mark Ashley Parry Youth Perception and Engagement of Climate Change
11:20 – 11:40 Peter McGowran The Youth Voice” - Disaster and Development Society (DDS)
11:40 – 12:00 Seema Ahmed Factors Affecting the Psychosocial Wellbeing of Adolescent Girls and Young Women after the 2005 Pakistan’s Earthquake’. Presentation not available.

Hazard, Risk and Mobility

Chair: Monika Büscher
Thursday 21st September

Geography W414

Time Speaker Presentation
13:00 - 13:30 David Alexander DRR and Human Mobility: A Summary of Issues
13:30 – 13:40 Monika Büscher,
Xaroula Kerasidou,
Katrina Peterse
Intersecting Intelligence: Datafication and Refugee journeys
No other presentations are available from this session.

Interpreting everyday urban risk

Chair: Hanna Ruszczyk
Thursday 21st September

Geography W010

Time Speaker Presentation
13:00 – 13:10 Hanna Ruszczyk Introduction
13:10 – 13:30 Gemma Sou Everyday Disasters as Private Loss not Public Tragedy: Accountability in Decentralized Participatory Risk Governance
13:30 – 13:50 Eric Chu Knowledge and Mobilisation around Everyday Urban Risks
13:50 – 14:20 Hanna Ruszczyk A continuum of perceived urban risk in Nepal
15:00 – 15:20 Emmanuel Osuteye What gets poor women and men in and out of urban risk traps?
15:20 – 15:40 Patricia Zweig (Skype) Is this phrase ‘Everyday risk’ fit for purpose?
15:40 – 15:50 Mark Pelling Discussant
15:50 – 16:00 Discussion

Contact Us

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Fax: +44 (0)191 3341801