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Durham University

Centre for Humanities Engaging Science and Society (CHESS)


Colleagues are very welcome at the following events hosted by CHESS and K4U (ERC project) this academic year

Workshop: Adequacy for Purpose

1st May 2019, 13:00 to 18:00, Senate Suite, University College


Paul Glover (Senior Principal Analyst, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory) and Paul Pearce (Principal Analyst, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory)

Fitness for purpose: A practitioner’s view on the concept of Adequacy in Analysis

Dr Wendy Parker (Durham University)

Model evaluation: An adequacy-for-purpose view

Joe Roussos (London School of Economics)

Making confident decisions with model ensembles (joint paper with Prof Roman Frigg, LSE)

Abstract: Increasingly many policy decisions take input from collections of scientific models. Such decisions face significant and often poorly understood uncertainty. We rework a recently developed theory of decision-making under severe uncertainty—called the “confidence approach”—to tackle decision-making with multiple models, showing how it can be used to construct nested sets of predictions of increasing specificity. We discuss the conditions under which particular sets are available to decision-makers. We illustrate the approach with a case study: an insurance pricing decision using hurricane models. The confidence approach has important consequences for this case and offers a powerful framework for a wide class of problems. We end with a consideration of different methods for nested set construction, appropriate to different collections of models.

Prof Mark von Rosing (Global University Alliance)

An adequacy-for-purpose view on: What factors influence or determine the content
of different enterprise models?

All welcome and refreshments provided – please contact the Centre Administrator at to confirm attendance

Contact for more information about this event.

For Further Information

For further information on all our events, including details on how to register, contact us at CHESS and K4U
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Contact CHESS

Department of Philosophy
Durham University
50 Old Elvet

Tel: 0191 334 6552
Fax: 0191 334 6551