Publication details for Professor Dennis PhilipAndreou, P.C., Kagkadis, A., Philip, D. & Tuneshev, T. (2018). Differences in options investors' expectations and the cross-section of stock returns. Journal of Banking and Finance 94: 315-336.
- Publication type: Journal Article
- ISSN/ISBN: 0378-4266
- DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2018.07.016
- Further publication details on publisher web site
- Durham Research Online (DRO) - may include full text
Author(s) from Durham
We provide strong evidence that the dispersion of individual stock options trading volume across moneynesses (IDISP) contains valuable information about future stock returns. Stocks with high IDISP consistently underperform those with low IDISP by more than 1% per month. In line with the idea that IDISP reflects dispersion in investors’ beliefs, we find that the negative IDISP-return relationship is particularly pronounced around earnings announcements, in high sentiment periods and among stocks that exhibit relatively high short-selling impediments. Moreover, the IDISP effect is highly persistent and robustly distinct from the effects of a large array of previously documented cross-sectional return predictors.