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Durham University

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Staff Profile

Ian Vernon, PhD University of Cambridge

Associate Professor, Statistics in the Department of Mathematical Sciences

Contact Ian Vernon (email at

Research Groups

Department of Mathematical Sciences

  • Applied Mathematics: Biomathematics
  • Probability & Statistics: Statistics
  • Probability and Statistics

Research Interests

  • Bayesian Statistics
  • Bayes Linear Methods
  • Uncertainty Analysis of Computer Models of Complex Physical Systems
  • Galaxy Formation Simulations
  • Systems Biology Models
  • Epidemiology HIV Models
  • Geology models of oil reservoirs

Selected Publications

Chapter in book

  • Goldstein, M., Seheult, A. & Vernon, I. (2013). Assessing Model Adequacy. In Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity. Mulligan, Mark. & Wainwright, John. Wiley-Blackwell. 435-449.

Journal Article

Conference Paper


Show all publications


Indicators of Esteem

  • 2011: Awarded Michell Prize for Best Applied Bayesian Article Worldwide 2010.:

    The Michell Prize is awarded for the best applied Bayesian Statistics article worldwide, and is considered to be the top research prize for Bayesian Statistics. It is awarded jointly by the Section on Bayesian Statistical Science (SBSS) of the America Statistical Association, the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA), and the Mitchell Prize Founders' Committee. We were awarded this prize for the invited discussion paper, for which I was first author:

    Vernon, I., Goldstein, M., and Bower, R. G. (2010), “Galaxy Formation: a Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis,” Bayesian Analysis 5(4), 619–846, with Discussion.

Selected Grants

  • 2015: Doctoral Programs and Post-doctoral positions sponsored by CNPQ and BG E&P LTDA (£531275.00 from )
  • 2012: RF060151: Calibration and analysis of complex individual-based stochastic models: methodological development and application to explore the impact of HAART on HIV/AIDS in Africa, MRC, £39529.24, 2012-10-01 - 2016-03-31
  • 2006: UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS FOR RANDOM (£190740.00 from Epsrc)