Staff Members
Mr Nigel Armstrong
(email at nigel.armstrong@durham.ac.uk)
Biography
Current Projects
‘Development and Assessment of Services for HyperServices for HyperServices for Hyper-acute Stroke (DASH)’, NIHR program grant, about £1.8 million, led by a team from Newcastle University (including Professor Cam Donaldson). It involves a Markov model for use in Shared Decision Making, which makes use of logistic regression to predict individual patient probabilities and preferences.
‘An economic evaluation of change in school food policy’, PHRC, about £60,000. He is PI on this project. It uses a cohort model with MCS in order draw from individual level data on children’s diet. This will, though a set of risk equations, predict the risk of various cardiovascular diseases and thus estimate lifetime cost and Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs).
‘Under what circumstances can primary care based services for sexually transmitted infections (STIs) be clinically effective and cost-effective by comparison with specialist genitourinary medicine services?’, MRC, about £300,000. He is a co-applicant and the PI is Dr. Catherine Mercer, University College London. It involves a dynamic disease transmission model to estimate the effect of sexually transmitted infection (STI) service configuration, given particular local parameters (e.g. demographics) on STI outcomes (e.g STI incidence).
