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Department of Geography

Staff Profile

Publication details for Professor Dave Petley

Petley, D. The evolution of slope failures: mechanisms of rupture propagation. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2004;4:147-152.
  • Publication type: Journal papers: academic
  • ISSN/ISBN: 1561-8633, 1684-9981
  • Keywords: Landslides, Selborne Cutting Slope experiment, Displacement,
  • View online: Online version
  • Durham research online: DRO record

Author(s) from Durham

Abstract

Forecasting the occurrence of large, catastrophic slope failures remains very problematic. It is clear that in order advance this field a greater understanding is needed of the processes through which failure occurs. In particular, there is a need to comprehend the processes through which a rupture develops and propagates through the slope, and the nature of the inter-relationship between the stress and strain states of the landslide mass. To this end, a detailed analysis has been undertaken of the movement records for the Selborme Cutting slope failure, in which failure was deliberately triggered through pore pressure elevation. The data demonstrate that it is possible to determine the processes occurring in the basal region of the landslide, and thus controlling the movement of the mass, from the surface movement patterns. In particular, it is clear that the process of rupture development and propagation has a unique signature, allowing the development of the rupture to be traced from detailed surface monitoring. For landslides undergoing first time failure through rupture propagation, this allows the prediction of the time of failure as per the "Saito" approach. It is shown that for such predictions to be reliable, data from a number of points across the landslide mass are needed. Interestingly, due to the complex stress regime in that region, data from the crown may not be appropriate for failure prediction.

Based upon these results, the application of new techniques for the detailed assessment of spatial patterns of the development of strain may potentially allow a new insight into the development of rupture surfaces and may ultimately permit forecasting of the temporal occurrence of failure.

References

Bulmer,M. H., Mantovani, F., Murphy,W., and Petley, D. N.: SAR,
Interferometry in landslide monitoring; experiences from Black
Ven Landslide, Dorset 2001, in: Geomorphology: From Expert
Opinion to Modelling, European Centre on Geomorphological
Hazards, edited by Delahaye, D., Levoy, F., and Maquaire, O.,
Strasbourg, France, 21–27, 2002.
Cooper, M. R., Bromhead, E. N., Petley, D. J., and Grant, D. I.: The
Selborne cutting stability experiment, Geotechniq., 48, 83–101,
1998.
Fukuzono, T.: Recent studies on time prediction of slope failure,
Landslide News, 4, 9–12, 1990.
Hutchinson, J.: Landslide risk – to know, to foresee, to prevent,
Geologia Tecnica and Ambientale, 9, 3–24, 2001.
Kilburn, C. R. J. and Petley, D. N.: Forecasting giant, catastrophic
slope collapse: Lessons from Vajont, northern Italy, Geomorpho.,
54, 49–62, 2003.
Mantovani, F., Pasuto, A., Silvano, S., and Zannoni, A.: Collecting
data to define future hazard scenarios of the Tessina landslide,
ITC Journal, 1, 33–40, 2000.
Petley, D. N.: The mechanics and landforms of deep-seated landslides,
in: Brookes, S. and Anderson, M. G., Advances in hillslope
processes, John Wiley & Sons, UK, 823–835, 1996.
Petley, D. N. and Allison, R. J.: The mechanics of deep-seated landslides,
Earth Surf., 22, 747–758, 1997.
Petley, D. N., Bulmer,M. H. K., and Murphy,W.: Patterns of movement
in rotational and translational landslides, Geology, 30, 719–
722, 2002.
Petley, D. N. and Petley, D. J.: On the initiation of large rockslides:
perspectives from a new analysis of the Vaiont movement
record, in: Large Rock Slope Failures, edited by Paper Evans, S.,
Balkema, Rotterdam (NATO Science Series), accepted, 2004.
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Voight, B.: A relation to describe rate-dependent material failure,
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Voight, B.: A method for prediction of volcanic eruptions, Nature,
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Notes

Published on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU).